Perspectives
Perspective 008Regulation

Waiting for AMLA won't make preparation any easier.

Much of the work firms need to do does not depend on the remaining technical standards. Strengthening governance, CDD and management information takes time.

By Everett MorganWinter 20269 min read
Frankfurt institutional architecture at dusk
Executive brief

Reading time · 9 minutes  ·  Primary audience · Boards, MLROs, Heads of Compliance and Financial Crime, Chief Risk Officers

Why this matters

Regulation (EU) 2024/1624 is enacted law and generally applies from 10 July 2027, alongside Directive (EU) 2024/1640. AMLA is established in Frankfurt. The broad legal framework for direct supervision is known, and AMLA is now finalising and operationalising the detailed risk-assessment and selection methodology ahead of the first selection cycle. What is still being finalised is technical detail, implementation and the development of more harmonised supervision. That remaining detail matters, but it does not justify delaying work on weaknesses the firm already understands. You do not need another RTS to test whether the Business-Wide Risk Assessment reflects the business as it operates today, whether governance works, whether customer data and CDD are reliable, whether management information explains risk, and whether known control weaknesses are being addressed. Equally, there is no sense in hard-coding requirements that are not yet settled.

Key findings
  1. 01The legislative direction is settled. Important implementation detail is still being finalised. That remaining detail matters, but it does not justify delaying work on weaknesses the firm already understands.
  2. 02Many firms can assess today whether they are potentially within the direct-supervision universe. They cannot know the final selection outcome until AMLA completes the formal assessment and selection process.
  3. 03Firms that are not directly supervised by AMLA will remain under national supervision, but AMLA is developing common methodologies and tools intended to increase supervisory convergence across the EU. The direction is towards greater consistency, not one identical inspection script for every firm.
  4. 04The largest preparation items, including legacy CDD, MI redesign and strengthening second-line effectiveness, can take significant time because they involve data, operating-model and governance change. Started late, they are harder to compress without increasing execution risk.
  5. 05Policies have never been enough on their own. Firms need evidence that controls are understood, applied and operating effectively.
  6. 06Work done now to strengthen the existing framework has value regardless of how the remaining technical detail is finalised.
Questions Boards should ask
  1. 01Based on the legal eligibility criteria and what we currently know about the selection methodology, are we plausibly within the direct-supervision universe, and does our preparation plan reflect that?
  2. 02Which parts of our current AML framework would we be comfortable defending under a more harmonised EU supervisory approach, and which would we not?
  3. 03If we delayed substantive preparation, which pieces of work would become materially harder to do well?
  4. 04Could the organisation explain why key AML decisions were made six months ago?

The familiar debate

Major regulatory reforms tend to create a familiar debate inside compliance teams. One view is that the work should start now. The other is that it is safer to wait until every technical detail is published, so nothing has to be built twice. Both arguments have something in them. Only one of them fits the calendar.

By now, enough of the Level 1 framework is settled, and enough Level 2 work is visible, to separate the changes that can begin now from the implementation detail that genuinely needs to wait. AMLA is operating. The AMLR and AMLD6 are enacted. Selection of the first directly supervised institutions is expected to run through 2027, with direct AMLA supervision of those selected high-risk cross-border financial institutions beginning in 2028. Most firms will continue to be supervised nationally, under a framework designed to be applied more consistently across the EU.

The problem: waiting for the RTS is a strategy for missing the runway

Set the outstanding standards to one side for a moment and look at what is already visible in most frameworks. The Business-Wide Risk Assessment that has not moved while the business has. Customer data that is incomplete on the records that matter most. Management information that counts activity rather than explaining risk. Control weaknesses that have been known for a year and remain open.

The remaining technical standards matter. They will affect implementation detail, data, process design and in some cases systems. But they are not a reason to postpone work on known weaknesses in governance, CDD, MI or control effectiveness. Watching the rulebook develop is not the same as preparing the firm.

The transition to European supervision is a governance event before it is a technical one. Firms will need evidence of judgement, ownership and control effectiveness, not simply new templates.

AMLA is developing common supervisory methodologies intended to increase convergence across the EU. The direction is visible; the final operating detail is still developing. None of that uncertainty is a good reason to delay work on known governance, CDD, MI or control-effectiveness weaknesses.

Why meaningful change takes time

In my experience, the difficult part of regulatory change is often not reading the rule. It is translating it into data, systems, processes, governance and existing customer relationships. That is where the months go.

Meaningful governance change often takes longer than rewriting the Terms of Reference. Improving customer file quality across a legacy population takes sustained effort, because it depends on operational capacity, outreach and decisions about customers the firm has held for years. Rebuilding management information so it explains risk rather than volume touches definitions, source systems and Board expectations at the same time. None of that is difficult to understand. All of it takes time.

Smaller firms

Large institutions may be able to create dedicated change programmes. Smaller firms are more likely to ask the same people who run BAU to deliver the change as well. Alerts still need clearing. Onboarding still needs deciding. The Board still meets.

That is exactly why starting early matters. Work that can be absorbed in small pieces over several quarters becomes very hard to absorb in a single one.

The direction of travel

AMLA gets much of the attention, but the change is bigger than the Authority itself. The AMLR, AMLD6 and the move towards more harmonised supervision are reshaping the European framework together.

The new framework is deliberately reducing some of the variation that has existed across Member States, including through more harmonised supervisory methodologies. That does not mean national supervision becomes identical, or that supervisory judgement disappears. It does mean the questions are likely to be put in more similar terms across markets.

A policy has never been evidence that the control works. The direction of the new framework reinforces the need for firms to demonstrate how controls operate, how decisions are made and how weaknesses are identified and corrected. The move towards more harmonised supervision reinforces questions that firms should already be able to answer about governance, control effectiveness and the evidence behind material decisions. Nothing in the new framework makes those questions less important.

Four areas that belong on the runway now

In readiness work, these are four areas I keep coming back to. None of them depends on the last technical standard being published. Start with the framework you have today.

Good practice and poor practice

What late preparation costs

The later substantive preparation begins, the more workstreams have to run in parallel and the less room the firm has to absorb failed assumptions, resource constraints or rework. Plans are built on assumptions about data quality, productivity and available capacity. Those assumptions move, as they often do.

Compression gets expensive quickly. More workstreams run in parallel, specialist resource becomes harder to secure and rework has less room to be absorbed.

Practical actions

The Claritas approach

When a firm asks us to help think about readiness, we start with the parts of the regulatory direction that are already clear, then read the firm's own framework against them. The four areas above are the organising frame for that reading. That usually surfaces a small number of workstreams that have been sitting in due course and need to move.

The output is a short paper covering the likely supervisory perimeter, the material workstreams, the capacity assumptions behind them and the governance actions needed next. It should be short enough that the Chair can understand the position quickly and see what needs to happen next.

The point is not to predict every remaining technical standard. It is to separate what genuinely needs to wait from what plainly does not. If the BWRA is stale, the customer data is weak, the MI does not explain risk or known control weaknesses are sitting unresolved, another RTS is unlikely to solve that for you. That work can start now.

What success looks like
  • 01The Board understands whether the firm appears potentially within AMLA's direct-supervision universe, the assumptions behind that view and what would change it.
  • 02Material legacy populations are identified, prioritised and being worked through on a risk-tiered plan with a documented completion state, and progress is reported at a cadence proportionate to materiality and programme pace.
  • 03The MI pack answers the governance questions the management body actually needs: what risk is changing, whether controls are working and where challenge or follow-up is required.
  • 04Second-line reporting shows evidence of independent testing and makes material differences from first-line assessment visible where they exist.
  • 05When new RTS or guidance are finalised, the readiness plan assesses their impact promptly and updates the relevant workstreams without unnecessarily restarting work that remains valid.
References
About the author
Everett Morgan
Founder & Principal Adviser, Claritas Risk Advisory

Everett has more than twenty years' experience in financial crime, AML governance, regulatory compliance and operational risk gained within Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley and BNP Paribas. He established Claritas Risk Advisory to provide smaller regulated financial institutions with experienced independent judgement, practical insight and proportionate recommendations.

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